Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Sep 2024

Korona Kielce
2-0 HT 2-0
Zaglebie Lubin
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.86
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 31% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
16%
4.87
X/2
6%
6.24
X/X
8%
4.15
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
19%
4.64
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.65
-20% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.8 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 0.64
50% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
323 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
27.08.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-0 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
23.04.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-2 HT 2-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
09.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
26.06.2020 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 HT 1-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
09.06.2020 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL

Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
2-0
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.27 xG 0.81
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
269 Passes 380
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Korona Kielce beat Zaglebie Lubin 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Korona Kielce as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 44% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 56%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.27 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zaglebie Lubin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.17 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Korona Kielce 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Korona Kielce win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 43%, draw 26%, Zaglebie Lubin 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Korona Kielce), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Korona Kielce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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