Piast Gliwice 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Sep 2024

Piast Gliwice
1-1 HT 0-0
Puszcza Niepolomice
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.42
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 35% vs market 31.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.07
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.6
X/1
15%
3.51
X/2
6%
10.9
X/X
13%
4.63
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
7%
9.73
2/X
9%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Puszcza Niepolomice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.41/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.53
-13% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
16.1 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
The Meetings
12.03.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
02.12.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
16.01.2014 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 1-4 HT 1-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice HAZ

Piast Gliwice 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-1
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.61 xG 0.10
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
351 Passes 206
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice and Puszcza Niepolomice couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Piast Gliwice at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 59% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 41%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 1.61 to 0.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Piast Gliwice and 0.33 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Piast Gliwice 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 53%, draw 29%, Puszcza Niepolomice 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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