Legia Varşova 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 15 Sep 2024

Legia Varşova
0-1 HT 0-1
Rakow Czestochowa
📅15/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Legia Varşova vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 30.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.15
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
10%
6.48
X/X
10%
4.04
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
4.98
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.3pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Legia Varşova v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 32%
-21% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.31/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.44
-29% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
24.6 Crosses 17.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Legia Varşova vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.42
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 311
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
08.10.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 1-2 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
15.07.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova PLS
02.05.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POLK
01.04.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
11.09.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 4-0 HT 1-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL

Legia Varşova 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.97 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
405 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 60% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 40%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 0.97 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.33 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Legia Varşova 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 43%, draw 25%, Rakow Czestochowa 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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