Emelec 0-4 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Sep 2025

Emelec
0-4 HT 0-2
Barcelona SC
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Emelec vs Barcelona SC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
32%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Emelec v Barcelona SC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Emelec EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
0.92/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.27
-33% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.5 Crosses 18.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Emelec vs Barcelona SC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Emelec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.28 xG 1.25
49% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
223 Passes 239
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.05.2025 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 1-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
21.10.2024 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Emelec Emelec EKV1
29.04.2024 Emelec Emelec 1-1 HT 0-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
13.11.2023 Emelec Emelec 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
04.06.2023 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-3 HT 0-0 Emelec Emelec EKV1
19.09.2022 Emelec Emelec 1-3 HT 1-1 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1

Emelec 0-4 Barcelona SC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Emelec
0-4
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.11 xG 2.06
55% Ball Possession 45%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
359 Passes 293
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Emelec vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC swept aside Emelec 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Emelec had 55% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 45%, shots finished 5-8, expected goals 0.11 to 2.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Emelec and 1.50 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Emelec vs Barcelona SC?

Emelec 0-4 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Emelec vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Emelec 29%, draw 29%, Barcelona SC 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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