Deportivo Cali 2-1 Deportivo Pasto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
1.19/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.14
-13% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
19.1 Crosses 13.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.91 xG 0.77
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
342 Passes 234
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2025 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
03.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
04.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Pasto
1.78 xG 0.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
328 Passes 250
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Pasto 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Deportivo Cali as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 56% of the ball to Deportivo Pasto's 44%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.78 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.00 for Deportivo Pasto.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportivo Cali 2-1 Deportivo Pasto in the Colombia - Primera on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Deportivo Pasto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 44%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pasto 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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