Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒02:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+4.2pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.3pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.5pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.26
-17% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
279 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
14.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
18.4 Crosses 14.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 0.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
232 Passes 323
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
24.02.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
04.09.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 4-0 HT 3-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
19.03.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
15.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
18.02.2022 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
0.53 xG 1.02
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
227 Passes 501
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
9 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 8
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pasto at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 34% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 66%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.53 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.33 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali?

Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 44%, draw 30%, Deportivo Cali 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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