Millonarios 2-0 Alianza Petrolera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
59%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.21/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.35
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
20.7 Crosses 13.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
407 Passes 236
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.07.2024 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-1 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
01.02.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
06.10.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-2 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
29.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
30.07.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
11.05.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-0
AWAY Alianza Petrolera
2.93 xG 0.10
71% Ball Possession 29%
24 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
440 Passes 124
88% Pass Accuracy 62%
30 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios saw off Alianza Petrolera 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 71% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 29%, shots finished 24-2, expected goals 2.93 to 0.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Millonarios and 1.00 for Alianza Petrolera.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera?

Millonarios 2-0 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Alianza Petrolera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 53%, draw 28%, Alianza Petrolera 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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