Independiente Medellin 0-0 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒04:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.6pp
27%
Draw
22%
+6.0pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 15%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.50/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.22
-10% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 71%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
17.2 Crosses 10.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
04.03.2024 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
26.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
05.03.2023 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
23.11.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 2-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.11.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
0-0
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.40 xG 0.11
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
421 Passes 111
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
25 Box Touches 8
39 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Aguilas Doradas played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Independiente Medellin at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 74% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 26%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.40 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.67 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas?

Independiente Medellin 0-0 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 53%, draw 27%, Aguilas Doradas 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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