UNAN Managua 2-4 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

UNAN Managua
2-4 HT 2-2
Export Sebaco
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.7
No
37%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
55%
+8.1pp
37%
BTTS No
45%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UNAN Managua v Export Sebaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UNAN Managua EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
2.37/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.64
+73% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UNAN Managua
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
10.02.2025 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 3-2 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
16.09.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 2-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
14.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
27.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 5-1 HT 3-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
19.09.2023 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua 5-0 HT 4-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
06.04.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-2 HT 0-0 UNAN Managua UNAN Managua NİK
POST-MATCH UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Export Sebaco saw off UNAN Managua 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Export Sebaco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UNAN Managua and 2.17 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

UNAN Managua 2-4 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UNAN Managua vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a UNAN Managua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split UNAN Managua 39%, draw 26%, Export Sebaco 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UNAN Managua) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UNAN Managua) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NİK More Nikaragua - Premier League
15 Sep 2025
02:00 Managua vs Diriangen Analysis →