Rosenborg II 2-3 Melhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
15%
3.8
Away
48%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.32
No
40%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
15%
Draw
23%
-8.1pp
48%
Away Win
37%
+11.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
72%
-11.5pp
40%
BTTS No
28%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Melhus EU Bookmakers 40%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
2.55/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/0.87
+23% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +134%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
369 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Melhus
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.07.2025 Melhus Melhus 4-1 HT 1-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
16.09.2024 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 1-2 Melhus Melhus NOR4
27.05.2024 Melhus Melhus 2-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
05.09.2022 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II 2-0 HT 0-0 Melhus Melhus NOR4
01.09.2022 Melhus Melhus 4-1 HT 2-1 Rosenborg II Rosenborg II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg II
2-3
AWAY Melhus
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg II vs Melhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus nicked a narrow win over Rosenborg II 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Rosenborg II had 63% of the ball to Melhus's 37%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Melhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Rosenborg II and 2.40 for Melhus.

What was the final score of Rosenborg II vs Melhus?

Rosenborg II 2-3 Melhus in the Norway - 3rd Division on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg II vs Melhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg II 37%, draw 15%, Melhus 48%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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