FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 Fakel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
Over 2.5
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.16
No
50%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Rodina Moskva EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fakel EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -22%
1.17/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.71
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Rodina Moskva
2-0
AWAY Fakel
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FK Rodina Moskva vs Fakel
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FK Rodina Moskva beat Fakel 2-0 in the Russia - FNL on 15 Sep 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 44% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FK Rodina Moskva had 57% of the ball to Fakel's 43%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of FK Rodina Moskva vs Fakel?

FK Rodina Moskva 2-0 Fakel in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Rodina Moskva vs Fakel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Rodina Moskva win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Rodina Moskva 43%, draw 25%, Fakel 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Rodina Moskva) ✓ Under 2.5
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