Neftekhimik 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
0.89/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.35
-19% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -20%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 2-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
08.09.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
04.05.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 0-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
13.08.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
20.05.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 2-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
29.10.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-0
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
60% Ball Possession 40%
23 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik nicked a narrow win over Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Neftekhimik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 60% of the ball to Yenisey Krasnoyarsk's 40%, shots finished 23-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.33 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Neftekhimik 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 37%, draw 30%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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