Chernomorets 4-1 Chayka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Sep 2025

📅15/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
18%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
62%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
18%
Away Win
16%
+2.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Chayka EU Bookmakers 19%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.46/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.23
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Chayka
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2025 Chayka Chayka 0-2 HT 0-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
21.07.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 1-2 HT 0-0 Chayka Chayka RUS1
27.06.2019 Chayka Chayka 1-0 HT 1-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets HAZ
08.07.2017 Chernomorets Chernomorets 3-3 HT 1-3 Chayka Chayka HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
4-1
AWAY Chayka
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Chernomorets vs Chayka
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Chernomorets ran out comfortable winners over Chayka 4-1 in the Russia - FNL on 15 Sep 2025. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 44%.

On the day, Chernomorets had 52% of the ball to Chayka's 48%, shots finished 14-8.

Across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chayka lead the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chernomorets and 1.50 for Chayka.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Chayka?

Chernomorets 4-1 Chayka in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Chayka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 59%, draw 23%, Chayka 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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