Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
2-1
HT 1-0
FK Ufa
RUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Ural
RUS
0-0
HT 0-0
FK Ufa
RUS
3-0
HT 0-0
Ural
RUK
Ural edged past FK Ufa 3-2 away from home in the Russia - FNL on 15 Sep 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, FK Ufa had 38% of the ball to Ural's 62%, shots finished 5-11.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Ufa and 1.17 for Ural.
What was the final score of FK Ufa vs Ural?
FK Ufa 2-3 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Ufa vs Ural?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FK Ufa 22%, draw 26%, Ural 53%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.