Hanwell Town 1-2 Basingstoke Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+2.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.60/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.83
+7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -47%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hanwell Town
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Basingstoke Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
13.01.2024 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hanwell Town
1-2
AWAY Basingstoke Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town edged past Hanwell Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Basingstoke Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hanwell Town had 55% of the ball to Basingstoke Town's 45%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hanwell Town and 1.50 for Basingstoke Town.

What was the final score of Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Hanwell Town 1-2 Basingstoke Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hanwell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hanwell Town 38%, draw 25%, Basingstoke Town 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hanwell Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hanwell Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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