Hitchin Town 1-1 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.1
Over Pick
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
42%
4-5
25%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-1.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -4%
1.56/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.61
+4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hitchin Town
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Leiston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Leiston Leiston 2-0 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
11.12.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
10.10.2022 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
08.11.2021 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hitchin Town
1-1
AWAY Leiston
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 12
POST-MATCH Hitchin Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hitchin Town and Leiston shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Hitchin Town had 40% of the ball to Leiston's 60%, shots finished 15-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hitchin Town and 2.00 for Leiston.

What was the final score of Hitchin Town vs Leiston?

Hitchin Town 1-1 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hitchin Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hitchin Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hitchin Town 39%, draw 22%, Leiston 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/22/39) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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