Leiston 2-0 Hitchin Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.03
Over Pick
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
24%
Away Win
28%
-4.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiston EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Hitchin Town EU Bookmakers 32%
+10% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.45/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.35
-13% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
299 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiston
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Hitchin Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.12.2023 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 1-4 HT 1-2 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Leiston Leiston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
10.10.2022 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Leiston Leiston 2-1 HT 1-0 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town İNGNLP
08.11.2021 Hitchin Town Hitchin Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Leiston vs Hitchin Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston beat Hitchin Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leiston as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Leiston had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leiston and 1.20 for Hitchin Town.

What was the final score of Leiston vs Hitchin Town?

Leiston 2-0 Hitchin Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiston vs Hitchin Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leiston 51%, draw 26%, Hitchin Town 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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