Stourbridge 1-4 Harborough Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stourbridge EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Harborough Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.43/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.74
-18% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +119%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stourbridge
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Harborough Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
14.09.2024 Harborough Town Harborough Town 4-2 HT 3-1 Stourbridge Stourbridge FAK
POST-MATCH Stourbridge vs Harborough Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harborough Town ran out comfortable winners over Stourbridge 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Harborough Town made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Stourbridge vs Harborough Town?

Stourbridge 1-4 Harborough Town in the England - Non League Premier on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stourbridge vs Harborough Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stourbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stourbridge 39%, draw 29%, Harborough Town 31%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stourbridge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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