Boston United 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
31%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
20%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.6pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +104%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 HT 1-1 Boston United Boston United FAK
18.11.2014 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boston United
0-4
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity cruised past Boston United 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Boston United had 50% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Boston United and 1.50 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Boston United 0-4 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - FA Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boston United 44%, draw 26%, Gainsborough Trinity 31%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Boston United), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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