Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
45%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.0
Over Pick
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 53%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
0.00/6.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/3.27
-100% / -75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -60%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Boston United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
18.11.2014 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-1 HT 0-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity and Boston United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Boston United at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Boston United?

Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 Boston United in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 33%, draw 23%, Boston United 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boston United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boston United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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