Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.94
Over 2.5
58%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-18.4pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.9pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
22%
+20.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
78%
-20.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 11%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.41
-18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
458 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hednesford Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.10.2024 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
1-3
AWAY Hednesford Town
74% Ball Possession 26%
19 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Hednesford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town beat Gateshead 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Gateshead at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Gateshead had 74% of the ball to Hednesford Town's 26%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Hednesford Town?

Gateshead 1-3 Hednesford Town in the England - FA Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Hednesford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 62%, draw 18%, Hednesford Town 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Gateshead), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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