Hednesford Town 1-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
9.57
Draw
20%
5.71
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.61
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.95
No
45%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
8%
+11.1pp
20%
Draw
15%
+4.9pp
61%
Away Win
77%
-16.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
53%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 81%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% /
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
235 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 502 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town and Gateshead couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Gateshead carried 61% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Gateshead?

Hednesford Town 1-1 Gateshead in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 19%, draw 20%, Gateshead 61%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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