Brackley Town 3-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.8
Over 2.5
54%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
37%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 39%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
2.30/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/2.94
+62% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brackley Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Hartlepool United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
12.10.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
19.10.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brackley Town saw off Hartlepool United 3-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brackley Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brackley Town and 1.00 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Hartlepool United?

Brackley Town 3-1 Hartlepool United in the England - FA Cup on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brackley Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 45%, draw 25%, Hartlepool United 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brackley Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Brackley Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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