Hartlepool United 1-1 Brackley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.8
Over 2.5
41%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+7.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-7.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.9pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 31%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.06/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.11/0.34
-97% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -92% / +150%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
282 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Brackley Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 14
19.10.2019 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-0 HT 0-0 Brackley Town Brackley Town FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Brackley Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Brackley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United and Brackley Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 50% of the ball to Brackley Town's 50%.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Brackley Town?

Hartlepool United 1-1 Brackley Town in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Brackley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 42%, draw 27%, Brackley Town 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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