Hollanda U19 2-4 Portekiz U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
34%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.48 — our 28% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.9pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.6pp
34%
Away Win
40%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda U19 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +107% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda U19
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Portekiz U19
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
338 Passes 197
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
12.07.2017 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 1-0 HT 1-0 Hollanda U19 Hollanda U19 U19
23.07.2013 Hollanda U19 Hollanda U19 1-4 HT 0-1 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda U19
2-4
AWAY Portekiz U19
1.55 xG 2.48
51% Ball Possession 49%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Hollanda U19 vs Portekiz U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U19 beat Hollanda U19 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 34% / 34% — and on the day Portekiz U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hollanda U19 had 51% of the ball to Portekiz U19's 49%, expected goals 1.55 to 2.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portekiz U19 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hollanda U19 and 2.50 for Portekiz U19.

What was the final score of Hollanda U19 vs Portekiz U19?

Hollanda U19 2-4 Portekiz U19 in the Friendlies on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda U19 vs Portekiz U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hollanda U19 32%, draw 34%, Portekiz U19 34%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (32/34/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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