Romanya U19 1-1 İspanya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
5.4
Draw
27%
4.34
Away
44%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.22
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 29% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
15%
+14.1pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.7pp
44%
Away Win
66%
-21.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.0pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Romanya U19 EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY İspanya U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
+79% / +79% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
+71% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -44%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Romanya U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY İspanya U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 4
11.10.2019 İspanya U19 İspanya U19 1-0 HT 1-0 Romanya U19 Romanya U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Romanya U19
1-1
AWAY İspanya U19
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Romanya U19 vs İspanya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Romanya U19 and İspanya U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was İspanya U19 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Romanya U19 had 42% of the ball to İspanya U19's 58%, shots finished 12-16.

What was the final score of Romanya U19 vs İspanya U19?

Romanya U19 1-1 İspanya U19 in the Friendlies on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Romanya U19 vs İspanya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an İspanya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Romanya U19 29%, draw 27%, İspanya U19 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İspanya U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İspanya U19) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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