Slovakya U21 4-2 Galler U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Oct 2024

Slovakya U21
4-2
Galler U21
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024

Slovakya U21 vs Galler U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
9%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
48%
-11.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.1pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slovakya U21 v Galler U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovakya U21 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Galler U21 EU Bookmakers 29%
+35% / +35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
2.03/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+20% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / –
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Slovakya U21 4-2 Galler U21 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovakya U21
4-2
AWAY Galler U21
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Slovakya U21 vs Galler U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovakya U21 got the better of Galler U21 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day Slovakya U21 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Slovakya U21 had 51% of the ball to Galler U21's 49%, shots finished 11-8.

What was the final score of Slovakya U21 vs Galler U21?

Slovakya U21 4-2 Galler U21 in the Friendlies on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovakya U21 vs Galler U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovakya U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Slovakya U21 37%, draw 28%, Galler U21 35%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slovakya U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slovakya U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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