Norveç U19 0-2 Almanya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 15 Oct 2024

📅15/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
55%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
19%
2.96
6+ Goals
12%
8.88
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
26%
-2.0pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.6pp
55%
Away Win
51%
+3.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.8pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norveç U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Almanya U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-22% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norveç U19
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Almanya U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
23.03.2019 Almanya U19 Almanya U19 0-1 HT 0-0 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 U19
24.03.2018 Almanya U19 Almanya U19 2-5 HT 1-4 Norveç U19 Norveç U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norveç U19
0-2
AWAY Almanya U19
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Norveç U19 vs Almanya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almanya U19 got the better of Norveç U19 2-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Almanya U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Norveç U19 had 39% of the ball to Almanya U19's 61%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Norveç U19 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Norveç U19 and 1.00 for Almanya U19.

What was the final score of Norveç U19 vs Almanya U19?

Norveç U19 0-2 Almanya U19 in the Friendlies on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norveç U19 vs Almanya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almanya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Norveç U19 24%, draw 21%, Almanya U19 55%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almanya U19), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almanya U19) ✓ BTTS No
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