Shinnik 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -58%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.08.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 0-2 HT 0-1 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
29.03.2025 Shinnik Shinnik 1-1 HT 0-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
12.10.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
24.04.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-2 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
03.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.03.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-0 HT 3-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Shinnik had 37% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 63%, shots finished 3-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shinnik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shinnik and 0.83 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Neftekhimik?

Shinnik 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 31%, draw 32%, Neftekhimik 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftekhimik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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