Arsenal Tula 1-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup Regional League, 15 Oct 2025

📅15/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-5.4pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.3pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sokol Saratov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2025 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
06.04.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
02.11.2024 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
13.11.2023 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 0-3 HT 0-2 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
08.10.2023 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-0 HT 3-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
28.09.2015 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula edged past Sokol Saratov 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 59% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 41%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.50 for Sokol Saratov.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov?

Arsenal Tula 1-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - Cup Regional League on 15/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 51%, draw 22%, Sokol Saratov 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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