Shinnik 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.53
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
28%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.5pp
34%
Draw
34%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.4pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+9.3pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-9.3pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-2.8pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.06/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.95
-7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
315 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Neftekhimik
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
24.04.2024 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-2 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
03.09.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
26.03.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 3-0 HT 3-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
04.09.2022 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
07.04.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-1 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik and Neftekhimik shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 34% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

On the day, Shinnik had 54% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 46%, shots finished 8-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shinnik had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Shinnik and 0.67 for Neftekhimik.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Neftekhimik?

Shinnik 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 37%, draw 34%, Neftekhimik 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shinnik), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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