KAMAZ 1-0 FK Ufa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Mar 2025

KAMAZ
1-0 HT 1-0
FK Ufa
📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.1pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KAMAZ EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Ufa EU Bookmakers 27%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -19%
1.81/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.17
+46% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KAMAZ
0W-1D-2L
AWAY FK Ufa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 FK Ufa FK Ufa 2-1 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
20.05.2023 FK Ufa FK Ufa 1-0 HT 1-0 KAMAZ KAMAZ RUS1
29.10.2022 KAMAZ KAMAZ 2-2 HT 2-0 FK Ufa FK Ufa RUS1
POST-MATCH KAMAZ vs FK Ufa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KAMAZ squeezed past FK Ufa 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KAMAZ as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FK Ufa led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KAMAZ and 1.67 for FK Ufa.

What was the final score of KAMAZ vs FK Ufa?

KAMAZ 1-0 FK Ufa in the Russia - FNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KAMAZ vs FK Ufa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KAMAZ win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KAMAZ 45%, draw 29%, FK Ufa 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KAMAZ), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KAMAZ) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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