Tyumen 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
30%
-3.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.01/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.41
-6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
2W-0D-2L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.09.2024 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-1 HT 2-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
16.05.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
23.07.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
18.03.2015 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SKA Khabarovsk edged past Tyumen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; SKA Khabarovsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tyumen had 39% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 61%, shots finished 4-6.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Tyumen 0-1 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 37%, draw 27%, SKA Khabarovsk 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tyumen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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