Tyumen 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
34%
Away Win
35%
-1.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.0pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -23%
0.84/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.53
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -30%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
1W-0D-1L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
18.03.2015 Tyumen Tyumen 2-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-0
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tyumen squeezed past SKA Khabarovsk 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Tyumen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tyumen had 44% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 56%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Tyumen 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tyumen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 38%, draw 29%, SKA Khabarovsk 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tyumen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tyumen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
16 May 2024
17:00 FK Leningradets vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →
18:00 Volgar Astrakhan vs Neftekhimik Analysis →
18:30 Shinnik vs Akron Analysis →
19:30 Torpedo Moscow vs Kuban Krasnodar Analysis →