Shinnik 1-0 Akron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
26%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.8pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.2pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Akron EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.10/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.63
+13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +55%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
228 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Akron
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2023 Akron Akron 3-1 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
19.10.2023 Akron Akron 3-0 HT 1-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUK
24.07.2022 Akron Akron 2-3 HT 2-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
15.11.2020 Shinnik Shinnik 1-3 HT 1-2 Akron Akron RUS1
08.08.2020 Akron Akron 2-1 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shinnik
1-0
AWAY Akron
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Akron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik squeezed past Akron 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Akron at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shinnik had 39% of the ball to Akron's 61%, shots finished 9-4.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Akron led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Shinnik and 2.60 for Akron.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Akron?

Shinnik 1-0 Akron in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Akron?

Before kick-off our model rated an Akron win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 27%, draw 31%, Akron 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Akron) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Akron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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