Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.30/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.62
-20% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
354 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
278 Passes 282
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.10.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 2-1 HT 0-0 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
10.07.2021 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-2 HT 0-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS1
29.11.2014 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 1-1 HT 1-1 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow RUS
25.10.2014 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-0 HT 0-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Moscow
1-0
AWAY Kuban Krasnodar
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 2
7 Shots on Target 0
6 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Torpedo Moscow vs Kuban Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torpedo Moscow edged past Kuban Krasnodar 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Torpedo Moscow as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Torpedo Moscow had 62% of the ball to Kuban Krasnodar's 38%, shots finished 15-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Moscow and 1.00 for Kuban Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Torpedo Moscow vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Torpedo Moscow 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar in the Russia - FNL on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Moscow vs Kuban Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Moscow 49%, draw 26%, Kuban Krasnodar 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torpedo Moscow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torpedo Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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