Ekvador 4-0 Bolivya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2024

Ekvador
4-0 HT 2-0
Bolivya
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Ekvador vs Bolivya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.28
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.97 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.4
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
31.5
X/1
19%
3.2
X/2
6%
29.0
X/X
8%
8.02
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
5%
25.5
2/X
5%
32.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
78%
-10.2pp
18%
Draw
16%
+2.3pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+7.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.3pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ekvador v Bolivya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ekvador EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivya EU Bookmakers 9%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.19/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/2.44
-45% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
449 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 8.6
27.5 Crosses 8.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.2

Ekvador vs Bolivya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ekvador
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Bolivya
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.02 xG 0.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
382 Passes 234
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.10.2023 Bolivya Bolivya 1-2 HT 0-1 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
18.06.2023 Ekvador Ekvador 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZTUR
08.10.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 3-0 HT 3-0 Bolivya Bolivya DKE
29.03.2021 Ekvador Ekvador 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ
12.11.2020 Bolivya Bolivya 2-3 HT 1-0 Ekvador Ekvador DKE
11.09.2019 Ekvador Ekvador 3-0 HT 0-0 Bolivya Bolivya HAZ

Ekvador 4-0 Bolivya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ekvador
4-0
AWAY Bolivya
3.06 xG 0.01
79% Ball Possession 21%
28 Total Shots 1
15 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 1
626 Passes 117
95% Pass Accuracy 65%
51 Box Touches 0
19 Crosses 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ekvador vs Bolivya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ekvador ran out comfortable winners over Bolivya 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ekvador as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ekvador had 79% of the ball to Bolivya's 21%, shots finished 28-1, expected goals 3.06 to 0.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ekvador had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Ekvador and 0.67 for Bolivya.

What was the final score of Ekvador vs Bolivya?

Ekvador 4-0 Bolivya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ekvador vs Bolivya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ekvador win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Ekvador 67%, draw 18%, Bolivya 14%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ekvador), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ekvador) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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