Endonezya 0-4 Japonya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
24%
5.15
Away
61%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
4.81
2-3 Goals
44%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
7.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 23% vs market 16.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
16%
+8.2pp
61%
Away Win
74%
-13.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Endonezya EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Japonya EU Bookmakers 79%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
0.41/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.53/0.40
-68% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +150%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
11.2 Crosses 19.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Endonezya
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Japonya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.35 xG 2.80
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
171 Passes 565
64% Pass Accuracy 85%
6 Box Touches 29
2 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Japonya Japonya 3-1 HT 1-0 Endonezya Endonezya ASK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Endonezya
0-4
AWAY Japonya
0.72 xG 0.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
241 Passes 558
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 32
11 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Endonezya vs Japonya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya swept aside Endonezya 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Japonya as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Endonezya had 34% of the ball to Japonya's 66%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.72 to 0.79.

What was the final score of Endonezya vs Japonya?

Endonezya 0-4 Japonya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Endonezya vs Japonya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Japonya win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Endonezya 15%, draw 24%, Japonya 61%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Japonya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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