Venezuela 1-1 Brezilya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2024

Venezuela
1-1 HT 0-1
Brezilya
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Venezuela vs Brezilya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.34
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
4.59
6+ Goals
6%
24.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 32.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
10.85
1/2
7%
28.5
1/X
5%
19.35
X/1
7%
11.9
X/2
19%
3.52
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.03
2/X
11%
18.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
16%
+4.7pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.1pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-9.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezuela v Brezilya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezuela EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Brezilya EU Bookmakers 62%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.02/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.44
+17% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -35%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 86%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
19.3 Crosses 15.9
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

Venezuela vs Brezilya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezuela
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Brezilya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.33 xG 2.12
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
215 Passes 539
76% Pass Accuracy 89%
7 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.10.2023 Brezilya Brezilya 1-1 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
08.10.2021 Venezuela Venezuela 1-3 HT 1-0 Brezilya Brezilya DKE
14.06.2021 Brezilya Brezilya 3-0 HT 1-0 Venezuela Venezuela AKU
14.11.2020 Brezilya Brezilya 1-0 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela DKE
19.06.2019 Brezilya Brezilya 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezuela Venezuela AKU
12.10.2016 Venezuela Venezuela 0-2 HT 0-1 Brezilya Brezilya DKE

Venezuela 1-1 Brezilya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezuela
1-1
AWAY Brezilya
1.00 xG 2.05
33% Ball Possession 67%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
165 Passes 366
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezuela vs Brezilya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezuela and Brezilya couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brezilya at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Venezuela had 33% of the ball to Brezilya's 67%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.00 to 2.05.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brezilya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Venezuela and 1.67 for Brezilya.

What was the final score of Venezuela vs Brezilya?

Venezuela 1-1 Brezilya in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezuela vs Brezilya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brezilya win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Venezuela 21%, draw 30%, Brezilya 49%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brezilya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brezilya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DKE More World Cup Qualifiers
15 Nov 2024
02:30 Paraguay vs Arjantin Analysis →
03:00 Ekvador vs Bolivya Analysis →
15:00 Endonezya vs Japonya Analysis →