Paraguay 2-1 Arjantin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — World Cup Qualifiers, 15 Nov 2024

Paraguay
2-1 HT 1-1
Arjantin
📅15/11/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
World Cup Qualifiers – 2026

Paraguay vs Arjantin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.4
No
58%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.06
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
15%
6.44
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
8.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.65
X/1
10%
8.89
X/2
7%
3.83
X/X
7%
3.52
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
30%
2.58
2/X
7%
16.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
21%
+10.6pp
24%
Draw
30%
-5.1pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-5.5pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.3pp
58%
BTTS No
62%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Paraguay v Arjantin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paraguay EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Arjantin EU Bookmakers 54%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.84/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.55
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +45%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 78%
13.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
16.9 Crosses 9.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Paraguay vs Arjantin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paraguay
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Arjantin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.92 xG 1.32
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
250 Passes 494
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.10.2023 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
08.10.2021 Paraguay Paraguay 0-0 HT 0-0 Arjantin Arjantin DKE
22.06.2021 Arjantin Arjantin 1-0 HT 1-0 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
13.11.2020 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 1-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE
20.06.2019 Arjantin Arjantin 1-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay AKU
12.10.2016 Arjantin Arjantin 0-1 HT 0-1 Paraguay Paraguay DKE

Paraguay 2-1 Arjantin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paraguay
2-1
AWAY Arjantin
0.67 xG 0.79
23% Ball Possession 77%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
121 Passes 569
66% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Paraguay vs Arjantin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paraguay nicked a narrow win over Arjantin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Arjantin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paraguay had 23% of the ball to Arjantin's 77%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.67 to 0.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arjantin led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Paraguay and 0.67 for Arjantin.

What was the final score of Paraguay vs Arjantin?

Paraguay 2-1 Arjantin in the World Cup Qualifiers on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paraguay vs Arjantin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arjantin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paraguay 32%, draw 24%, Arjantin 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arjantin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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