Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Jarun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 15 Nov 2024

📅15/11/2024 · 🕒15:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jarun EU Bookmakers 33%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.40/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.97
+23% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +38%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Jarun
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.09.2024 Jarun Jarun 3-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
12.04.2024 Jarun Jarun 0-1 HT 0-1 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
16.02.2024 Jarun Jarun 1-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1-0
AWAY Jarun
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb edged past Jarun 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dubrava Zagreb as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 62% of the ball to Jarun's 38%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Jarun led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 1.33 for Jarun.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Dubrava Zagreb 1-0 Jarun in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 15/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Jarun?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 43%, draw 29%, Jarun 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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