Boreham Wood 1-2 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Nov 2025

📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.44
2-3 Goals
40%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
10%
7.63
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.44 — our 26% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.8
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
19%
4.13
X/2
5%
12.95
X/X
10%
6.74
2/1
7%
20.6
2/2
7%
10.1
2/X
5%
18.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
64%
-1.8pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.55/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/2.41
-21% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-2
AWAY Tamworth
74% Ball Possession 26%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Boreham Wood 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Boreham Wood carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 74% of the ball to Tamworth's 26%, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Tamworth?

Boreham Wood 1-2 Tamworth in the England - National League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 62%, draw 22%, Tamworth 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Boreham Wood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ BTTS Yes
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