Hartlepool United 1-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 15 Nov 2025

Hartlepool United
1-1 HT 1-1
Wealdstone
📅15/11/2025 · 🕒18:03 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.35
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.87
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.85
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.19
X/2
12%
7.14
X/X
8%
5.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.25
2/2
14%
4.66
2/X
6%
13.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.2pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartlepool United v Wealdstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +14%
1.35/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.66
-12% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
78 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 63 · 92%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Wealdstone
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.01.2025 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
24.08.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
23.12.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 4-4 HT 3-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
17.04.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-7 HT 0-3 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.01.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL

Hartlepool United 1-1 Wealdstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Wealdstone
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United and Wealdstone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 48% of the ball to Wealdstone's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.67 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone?

Hartlepool United 1-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 15/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 46%, draw 22%, Wealdstone 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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