Hartlepool United 1-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.21
6+ Goals
12%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.36
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.8
X/1
12%
4.25
X/2
10%
8.51
X/X
12%
5.22
2/1
9%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.19
2/X
10%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -2%
1.73/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.78
+6% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Wealdstone
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 4-4 HT 3-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
17.04.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-7 HT 0-3 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.01.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
1-1
AWAY Wealdstone
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartlepool United and Wealdstone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hartlepool United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 56% of the ball to Wealdstone's 44%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Hartlepool United and 2.00 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone?

Hartlepool United 1-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 44%, draw 27%, Wealdstone 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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