Sutton United 2-2 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
27%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 35% vs market 27.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.5
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.7
X/1
15%
5.06
X/2
10%
5.68
X/X
13%
4.43
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
11%
4.1
2/X
8%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+8.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-8.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.6pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -24%
1.98/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.73
+37% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
260 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
0W-2D-0L
AWAY York City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
11.03.2017 Sutton United Sutton United 2-2 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
29.10.2016 York City York City 2-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
2-2
AWAY York City
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United and York City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sutton United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sutton United had 41% of the ball to York City's 59%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sutton United and 2.00 for York City.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs York City?

Sutton United 2-2 York City in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 43%, draw 30%, York City 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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