Aldershot Town 4-1 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.35
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.53
6+ Goals
8%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 32% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.38
X/2
10%
5.5
X/X
12%
4.75
2/1
8%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.74
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.7pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +19%
1.36/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.13
-7% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
236 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
12.08.2023 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 5-1 HT 3-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
28.01.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İBSL
26.08.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
4-1
AWAY Oldham Athletic
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town cruised past Oldham Athletic 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Aldershot Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 49% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 51%, shots finished 8-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Oldham Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.00 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Aldershot Town 4-1 Oldham Athletic in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 40%, draw 28%, Oldham Athletic 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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