Ebbsfleet United 0-3 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 33% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.42
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.14
X/2
13%
5.88
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
14%
4.13
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.33/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.43
-9% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Woking
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Woking Woking İBSL
19.09.2023 Woking Woking 1-1 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
28.01.2020 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
22.10.2019 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United FAK
19.10.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 1-0 Woking Woking FAK
14.09.2019 Woking Woking 2-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
0-3
AWAY Woking
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Woking ran out comfortable winners over Ebbsfleet United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Woking found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 48% of the ball to Woking's 52%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 0.83 for Woking.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Woking?

Ebbsfleet United 0-3 Woking in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 38%, draw 28%, Woking 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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