Gateshead 3-1 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.82
No
56%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 27% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
6%
10.4
X/X
12%
5.5
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
11%
8.18
2/X
5%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
59%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.12/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.38
+14% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Yeovil
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 3-2 HT 2-0 Gateshead Gateshead FAK
04.04.2023 Gateshead Gateshead 4-0 HT 2-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
12.11.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 3-1 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gateshead
3-1
AWAY Yeovil
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gateshead saw off Yeovil 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gateshead as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gateshead had 63% of the ball to Yeovil's 37%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Yeovil led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gateshead and 2.00 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Yeovil?

Gateshead 3-1 Yeovil in the England - National League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 52%, draw 24%, Yeovil 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gateshead) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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