Wealdstone 1-1 Hartlepool United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

Wealdstone
1-1 HT 0-1
Hartlepool United
📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.23
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.3
6+ Goals
11%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.7
1/2
7%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
7%
6.61
X/2
18%
4.94
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
15%
3.02
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wealdstone v Hartlepool United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.51/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.03
+17% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
96 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 100 · 93%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3

Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Hartlepool United
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 1-1 HT 0-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
23.12.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 4-4 HT 3-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
02.09.2023 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
17.04.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 2-7 HT 0-3 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
09.01.2021 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 3-1 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL

Wealdstone 1-1 Hartlepool United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
1-1
AWAY Hartlepool United
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Hartlepool United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wealdstone had 49% of the ball to Hartlepool United's 51%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Wealdstone and 3.40 for Hartlepool United.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United?

Wealdstone 1-1 Hartlepool United in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Hartlepool United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 34%, draw 27%, Hartlepool United 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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