Southend United 0-3 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 18 Jan 2025

📅18/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
14.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.09
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
11%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.92
X/2
10%
5.4
X/X
10%
4.51
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
21%
3.54
2/X
6%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
38%
+0.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.8pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 42%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -14%
0.69/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.67
-51% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Barnet
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
30.12.2023 Barnet Barnet 1-0 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
26.12.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-2 HT 0-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
03.03.2023 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
01.11.2022 Barnet Barnet 0-3 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
18.04.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-3 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
0-3
AWAY Barnet
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet cruised past Southend United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Barnet made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Southend United had 44% of the ball to Barnet's 56%, shots finished 6-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 1.17 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Barnet?

Southend United 0-3 Barnet in the England - National League on 18/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Southend United 35%, draw 27%, Barnet 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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